Friday, March 14, 2008

IPCC's bad Global warming Science

The Greenland Icecap

Conclusion: “The IPCC's policy recommendations are based on flawed statistical analyses and procedures that violate general forecasting principles. Policymakers should take this into account before enacting laws to counter global warming — which economists point out would have severe economic consequences.”—H. Sterling Burnett

The United Nations IPCC, co-honoree of this year’s Nobel Peace Prize along with former vice president Al Gore, is on the hot seat for politicizing Global warming and making a mockery of Science and the scientific method.

According to H. Sterling Burnett a senior fellow with the National Center for Policy Analysis, a nonpartisan, nonprofit research institute in Dallas, the IPCC has broken several scientific principles to advance Climate politics that are devoid of scientific fact.

The IPCC was created in 1988 to provide a "comprehensive, objective, scientific, technical and socioeconomic assessment of human-caused climate change, its potential impacts and options for adaptation and mitigation." This body set out to prove anthropogenic global warming and never once thought about questioning if in fact there was such a thing. So with original bias in hand they accomplished their mandate, they proved to their own satisfaction that man’s activities are the primary cause of Global warming in spite of evidence that the earth is actually cooling.

That would be the equivalent of setting out to prove that Bigfoot exists without ever questioning if there really was such a being as Bigfoot. All of the evidence that you gathered would confirm the reality of Bigfoot.

IPCC reports have predicted average world temperatures will increase dramatically, leading to the spread of tropical diseases, severe drought, the rapid melting of the world's glaciers and ice caps, and rising sea levels. However, several assessments of the IPCC's work have shown the techniques and methods used to derive its climate predictions are fundamentally flawed.--H. Sterling Burnett

The IPCC and public figures such as Al Gore have used this flawed information to promote the political scare of Global warming.

The IPCC published its Fourth Assessment Report in 2007 predicting global warming will lead to widespread catastrophe if not mitigated, yet failed to provide the most basic requirement for effective climate policy: accurate temperature statistics. A number of weaknesses in the measurements include the fact temperatures aren't recorded from large areas of the Earth's surface and many weather stations once in undeveloped areas are now surrounded by buildings, parking lots and other heat-trapping structures resulting in an urban-heat-island effect. – H. Sterling Burnett

According to Burnett using accurate temperature data, sound forecasting methods are required to predict climate change. Over time, forecasting researchers have compiled 140 principles that can be applied to a broad range of disciplines, including science, sociology, economics and politics.
Burnett further establishes that a recent NCPA study, Kesten Green and J. Scott Armstrong used these principles to audit the climate forecasts in the Fourth Assessment Report. Messrs. Green and Armstrong found the IPCC clearly violated 60 of the 127 principles relevant in assessing the IPCC predictions. Indeed, it could only be clearly established that the IPCC followed 17 of the more than 127 forecasting principles critical to making sound predictions.

In conclusion Mr. Green and Mr. Armstrong found no evidence the IPCC was aware of the vast literature on scientific forecasting methods, nor did the IPCC apply the principles.

The bottom line is the whole theory of Global warming has been perched precariously on claims with no solid scientific method to back them up.
Interesting how the purveyors of the theory of anthropogenic Global warming are the actual “deniers” of truth, not these whom they have accused of being deniers!