"I'm kind of still up in the air between McCain and Hillary," said Jason Jenkins, 32, who cited information from a hoax e-mail as a reason to spurn Obama.In the last eight years Democrats have demonstrated a propensity for a Myanmar cyclone type of politics where huge numbers of people are devastated and where political destruction is of such a wide berth that the impact and the effects of Democrat’s brand of political disaster will reverberate throughout American and World politics for years to come.
"I'll be honest with you. Barack scares the hell out of me,” he said. "He swore on the Koran." --THOMAS M. DeFRANK
The Myanmar cyclone cut a devastating swathe through Yangon Indonesian where it exacted an overwhelming human toll upwards of 100,000 deaths.
Democrats in 2000 via Al Gore, who was running for President, tore this country apart in a red state, blue state divide that has not been seen since brother fought brother in the United States 1861 Civil war.
Democrat John F. Kerry, who was running for President, in 2004 assaulted a sitting President in the most un-statesman like manner exacerbating an already volatile partisan hatred that threatens the very unity of these united states.
And now Democrat Hillary Clinton, who was running to be the Democrat nominee for President, has inflamed racial tension by her sexist, racist politics that for sure has damage her opponent’s chances of winning in the general election, but larger than that she has forever sat back racial relations in America to the time of the 1861 Civil war!
In Thomas DeFrank’s, “Ugly Truth why Hillary Clinton Won’t Quit” DeFrank lays out what everyone knows but few are honest enough to say. (see here)
Sen. Clinton is sown the seeds of racial hatred and she waits to see what harvest she might glean when and if her handiwork bears the fruit that she anticipates.
After all Sen. Barack Obama can’t win because he’s Black right?
Obama did manage to pull in many white voters, but still encountered similar sentiments from a man who refused to shake his hand at a diner in Greenwood, Ind.Democrats never cease to amaze me to what depths they will sink to gain power. Even if it means destroying the country over lies about the 2000 Florida vote, or lies about the Iraq war and MWD in 2004 or racial lies about one another in their own 2008 primary Democrats leave Myanmar cyclone political destruction in their wake every Presidential cycle which leaves the rest of us to clean up the miss from the fallout.
"I can't stand him," the man said. "He's a Muslim. He's not even pro-American as far as I'm concerned." –Thomas DeFrank
There is a saying about one should be careful as a guest to not wear out one’s welcome, Sen. Clinton should learn that adage so the rest of us can begin to clean up the devastation that she has caused.
Senator it’s time to quit!
It's not about WINNING. It's about SPOILING.
ReplyDeleteHave a look at Alan Lichtman's 13 Keys Presidential Election Prediction Model [http://www.forecastingprinciples.com/Political/commentary-lichtman.html], which was derived form the Keilis-Borok Model used by the Old Soviet Union for Foriegn Policy purposes.
Though Lichtman definitely has a Liberal bias, and though this Model does have some subjective elements, it is a good predictive model. This model has the virtue of filtering out most of the punditry, and it will tell you the optimal strategies of Obama, Clinton, and McCain. Look for McCain to learn his Economics in a hurry. Look also for Obama to try to do some legislative spoiling in the Economy (2 Keys) and the War on Terror (1 Key). Hillary's Colors will be shown by whom she throws the victory to. If she helps McCain with even one of these keys, which I expect her to do, she is a SPOILER.
As it stands, my forecast is a McCain 7-6 cliffhanger victory.
In your honest opinion, who do you think wins from this predictive Model?
Good solid on the point of discuss post!
ReplyDeleteInformative and engaging as well. Good job.
Judging from the model it appears McCain has the advantage over Obama yet I think it much to early to tell.
Both of these guy could slip on a bannana peel between now and November.
Yes, it is too early. However, here's how I score them:
ReplyDelete1) The Democrats Control Congress. Score 1 for Obama.
2) McCain won the nomination easily and long ago. Score 1 for McCain.
3) Bush is President. Score 2 for McCain.
4) No significant Third Party. Score 3 for McCain.
5) Probable Recession, Score 2 for Obama. This is both subject to change and Legislative Maneuvering.
6) Economic Growth Stalled. Score 3for Obama. This is both subject to change and Legislative Maneuvering. 5 & 6 are the reasons why McCain needs to learn Economics in a hurry. Hillary can also play SPOILER against eithe McCain or Obama on 5 & 6.
7) No Major in National Policy. Score 4 for Obama.
8) No Social Unrest. Score 4 for McCain
9) No Major Scandal against the Administration. No scandals are being persued against Bush currently. Barring some stupendous moral laps on the part of Bush, Score 5 for McCain.
10) No Military Failure. There has not been any major defeat, just a protracted War on Terror. The politicization to the Iraq War is all about this Key to Victory. Clinton can also play Spoiler here. Score 6 for McCain.
11) No Major Military or Foriegn Policy Failure, but no Success either. Score 5 for Obama.
12) McCain IS a National Hero. Score 7 for McCain.
13) Obama is Charismatic. Score 6 for Obama. However, this is in jeopardy for Obama as the Primaries drag on. Rush Limbaugh, by means of operation Chaos is working on this one.
Obama may have to consider a a strategic sacrifice of Key 13 in order to preserve keys 5 & 6, and to pick up Keys 9 & 10.
What Hillary does to influence Keys 5,6,9,10,11, and 13 will tell you about who she is secretly backing. If she assists McCain on three or more of these Keys, she is up to her old tricks again, undermining Obama.
Of course, McCain only has to play solid defense to win, protect the Economy on Keys 5 & 6, and make sure Bush suffers no major defeats in 9, 10, and 11.
Provisional Score: McCain 7, Obama 6.
I repeat: How do you score them?
Party Mandate Obama
ReplyDeleteContest McCain
Incumbency Obama
Third Party Even
S/T economy Even
L/T economy Even
Policy Change Obama
Social unrest McCain
Scandal McCain
F/M failure Obama
F/M success McCain
Incumbent
Charisma McCain
Challenger
Charisma Obama
Obama 5 McCain 6
I'll take it as an "Undecided" in favor of McCain.
ReplyDeleteI don't expect a MAJOR Third Party, but I do expect McCain to slip on both of the Economic Banana peels.
McCain still wins by a squeeker.
I'll consider this a virtual agreement.